…but how come no one saw it coming?

The likely sharp uptick in support for Sinn Féin and the possible decline in support for both Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael should pose a few questions for Irish political scientists, not least… Why did no one see the Sinn Féin rise come? The bad answer is that we’re not in the business of prediction.…

A timely critique of Majority Voting system (by way of Book and Road Trip!)

(above book launch in Sarajevo) By Peter Emerson Just published, Majority Voting as a Catalyst of Populism (Springer, Heidelberg)  —  https://www.springer.com/gb/book/9783030202187  —  is a critique of binary decision-making.  Binary politics are everywhere: in the Dáil although there are better methodologies; in referendums as in Brexit, which was crazy; in Northern Ireland, where the very cause…

Bye-elections Digest 2019

   Dr. Theresa Reidy, University College Cork Bye-elections are odd political events. The likelihood of a single vote having an impact on government survival is marginal, even in the relatively tight arithmetic of the current Dáil. And in some way, voters seem to know this. The four bye-elections in Cork North Central, Dublin Fingal, Dublin…

DECISIONS, DECISIONS BINARY OR MULTI-OPTION AND/OR PREFERENTIAL VOTES By Peter Emerson, Director de Borda Institute

We cannot determine a collective opinion, if those concerned do not state their individual opinions, if they vote only ‘no’.   Logically, an ‘Option X, yes-or-no? (‘remain-or-leave?)’ ballotcannot identify “the will of the people”. Furthermore, when there is no majority for any one thing, there is a majority against every single thing. In June 2016,…